Mike Ghouse for security of Israel and Justice for Palestinians
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Why is Israel so afraid of the Arab Peace Initiative?
It promises full diplomatic ties with the Muslim world, including Iran. It’s the ‘best idea ever,’ says an ex-Likud minister. So why does the government reject the Arab world’s ostensible path to peace?
By Raphael Ahren
June 18, 2013, 12:43 pm
105
Israel
could easily make peace with Iran: it only needs to evacuate some
settlements, allow a few Palestinian refugees to enter Israel, and the
bitter enmity between Jerusalem and Tehran is a thing of the past.
Of course, it’s not quite that simple — but there is a theoretical kernel of truth to the aforementioned proposition. According
to the Arab Peace Initiative, 57 Arab and Muslim states will establish
“full diplomatic and normal relations” with Israel, in exchange for a
“comprehensive peace agreement” with the Palestinians. The Islamic
Republic of Iran is among the countries that endorse the initiative.
Though not Arab, Iran is a member state of the
Organization of Islamic Cooperation, which time and again expressed its
support for the Arab Peace Initiative, including this past May in
Cairo.
A decade earlier, in May 2003, a conference of the member states’ foreign ministers in Tehran
“reaffirmed its support to, and adoption of, the Arab peace initiative
for resolving the issue of Palestine and the Middle-East.” Indeed, an information leaflet about the peace initiative
posted on the Arab League’s official website shows the flags of all
countries that endorse the proposal, including those of Libya, Syria —
and Iran.
First adopted by the Arab League in 2002, the
Arab Peace Initiative has become a hot political item again since the
organization mentioned for the first time the possibility of mutual
agreed land swaps. The move was widely understood as a nod to changed realities on the ground that would allow Israel to retain major settlement blocs in the West Bank in a future final-status agreement.
Yet Jerusalem remains steadfast in rejecting
the overture, or at least in assertively ignoring it. Just this Friday,
in Washington, Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon dismissed the Arab
initiative as “a spin” and “a dictation” that would force Israel to make
great concessions before being able to present its own demands.
Why the objections, the reservations, the
mistrust? Okay, the likelihood of peace with Iran may sound beyond
improbable, but why doesn’t Israel at least ride the initiative toward
normalization with ostensibly moderate Arab states, many of which appear
to be interested in teaming up with Israel against their common enemies
in Tehran? (Some analysts say that the Gulf states are especially
willing to normalize relations with Israel, mainly because they seek
allies in their struggle against the Iranian threat.)
Skeptics say the Arab Peace Initiative is
unacceptable to Israel because of certain clauses that no government can
ever agree to. Well, if so, why doesn’t Jerusalem at least try to
engage with the Arab world by professing interest in the initiative, if
only to demonstrate the will for peace and avoid being labeled as the
party that prevents an agreement? There is so much to gain — politically
and economically — in making peace with the entire Arab world. What is
Israel afraid of?
Originally, the Arab Peace Initiative
offered Jerusalem diplomatic relations with the entire Arab world in
exchange for a “full Israeli withdrawal from all the Arab territories
occupied since June 1967,” the establishment of a Palestinian state with
East Jerusalem as its capital, and a “just” and “agreed upon” solution
to the Palestinian refugee question.
In 2002, the Israeli government was curious
but perceived the initiative as a take-it-or-leave-it proposition it
couldn’t possibly embrace. “On the surface, the proposal looked
appealing, with its provision that the Arab states welcome peace with
Israel — something they had been unwilling to do since the state’s
inception,” the son of then-prime minister Ariel Sharon, Gilad Sharon,
wrote in a 2011 memoir of his father. “But the details made the offer
unacceptable.”
Today, Israel’s leaders make very similar comments.
But in the interim, it wasn’t always like
this. Six years ago, then-prime minister Ehud Olmert welcomed the
initiative, and in a remarkable but little-known episode of Arab-Israeli
interaction, a semi-official Arab League delegation came to Jerusalem
and discussed the peace proposal with Olmert and then-foreign minister
Tzipi Livni.
In March 2007, after an Arab League summit held in Riyadh reaffirmed the original peace offer, the Foreign Ministry in Jerusalem asserted that “Israel is sincerely interested in pursuing a dialogue with those Arab states that desire peace with Israel.”
Olmert at the time keenly expressed his desire
to meet the Saudi king to further explore the proposal, but no meeting
was scheduled. Surprised by Olmert’s enthusiasm, the Arab League refused
an encounter lest it be seen as engaging in “normalization” with the
Zionist regime. The only Arab officials who could meet with the Israeli
government were those whose countries already had peace treaties with
Jerusalem, it was clarified,
and so, months later, Livni met with Egyptian Foreign Minister Ahmed
Abul Gheit and her Jordanian counterpart Abdul Ilah Khatib.
The Arab world could play an “important role”
in helping Israel and the Palestinians make peace, Livni said in Cairo
on May 10. At the end of this meeting, Gheit said an “Arab League
preparatory team,” consisting of himself and his Jordanian colleague,
intended to visit Israel “within the next few weeks as representatives
of the Arab League,” the Israeli Foreign Ministry stated at the time, adding this would be “the first visit by official representatives of the Arab League in Israel.”
Gheit and Khatib indeed came to Israel, on
July 25, but they insisted on diplomatic protocol that would “make it
evident they’re representing their countries and not the Arab League,”
according to an Israeli Foreign Ministry official. “So much for
confidence building measures,” he scoffed.
Still, at a joint press conference in Jerusalem,
Gheit said he was “very happy to be here as the foreign minister of
Egypt on assignment by the Working Group of the Arab Summit.” Khatib,
the Jordanian foreign minister, said the offer he and his colleague came
to Jerusalem to present is an “opportunity of historic magnitude — it
will provide Israel with the security and recognition and acceptance in
this region to which Israel has long aspired.”
Gheit added that he planned to present a
report to the Arab Ministerial Council within days and “relate to them
what we have heard and convey the proposals we have listened to, and
then we shall probably suggest some ideas to strengthen and ensure the
continuation of this process.”
In other words: the two foreign ministers said
they had good and constructive talks, and would take them back to the
Arab League — “and were never heard of again,” the Israeli official
said. “We did try to reach out to the Arab League, but they disappeared.
We did it openly and publicly, but it did not help moderate Hamas,
whose extremism and striving for power and violence is still there.”
Later that summer, Hamas took over Gaza in a bloody coup. The rest is
history: the Palestinian Authority fails to accept Olmert’s 2008 offer
for a Palestinian state, two wars with Hamas in Gaza, a stalled peace
process.
Enter US Secretary of State John Kerry, who
has been working tirelessly to restart negotiations between Israelis and
Palestinians ever since he took office in February. On April 29, he hosted an
Arab League delegation in Washington, during which Qatari Prime
Minister Hamad bin Jassim bin Jabr Al Thani for the first time signaled
that a “comparable and mutual agreed minor swap of the land” would be
acceptable.
While most analysts and pundits said this was
nothing new, as it was clear to everyone that a future peace agreement
would entail land exchanges, for some Israeli lawmakers it showed that
the Arab world is still interested in peace and that Israel should not
waste this opportunity.
Some 40 MKs signed a petition that forced
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to appear in the Knesset for a special
session dedicated to the Arab Peace Initiative. In his speech,
Netanyahu called on
PA President Mahmoud Abbas to “give peace a chance” and enter
negotiations without preconditions, yet barely addressed the Arab
League’s reissued peace proposal.
“We are attentive to any initiative and we are
ready to discuss any initiative that is proposed and that is not a
dictate,” Netanyahu said, referring to a much-cited argument that some
of the Arab Initiative’s demands — such as a return to the 1967 lines
and the right of return — are non-starters for Israel yet appear
non-negotiable for the Arabs. Some understood Netanyahu’s
statement to mean that he “signaled readiness” to consider the peace
initiative, pointing out that he did not explicitly reject it, but his
words could hardly be considered a ringing endorsement.
Danny Danon: ‘You have to sacrifice a lot, and on the other hand you’re not really going to get peace. I don’t think we should even consider this offer’
Deputy Defense Minister Danny Danon, a declared opponent
of a Palestinian state, suggested that those behind the Arab Peace
Initiative don’t really intend to ever accept Israel in their midst.
“You have to sacrifice a lot, and on the other hand you’re not really
going to get peace,” he told The Times of Israel last week. “Maybe if
you sit in Qatar or Abu Dhabi it sounds good,” but those who know what
happened in Gaza after the Hamas take-over fear that the terror group
could also conquer the West Bank and rain rockets on central Israel from
there, he suggested. “I don’t think we should even consider this
offer.”
Indeed, security is one of the main arguments
for opponents of the Arab Peace Initiative, because they argue that the
’67 lines, land swaps notwithstanding, are indefensible.
“I don’t foresee any Israeli government
willing and/or capable of returning to the 1967 lines, with or without
territorial swaps,” said Dani Dayan, a former chairman and current chief
foreign envoy of the pro-settler Council of Jewish Settlements. True,
Dayan contended, Netanyahu formally endorses a two-state solution, but
he also made it amply clear that Israel is not ready to return to the
Green Line.
“Territorial swaps do not make the 1967
borders more defensible. Territorial swaps have to do with demography,
they have nothing to do with security,” Dayan said. “I do not see any
territorial compromise that can reconcile Israeli and Palestinians
demands. Therefore the Arab Peace Initiative, exactly like Oslo and John
Kerry’s initiative, are a waste of time.”
Everyone agrees that Israel has legitimate
security concerns, but if a regional peace agreement is implemented,
they should be much less serious, countered Galia Golan, a professor at
Herzliyah’s Interdisciplinary Center who specializes in the Arab-Israeli
conflict. In addition, “demilitarizations and international border
monitoring have also been agreed at various times in the past,” said
Golan, a veteran Peace Now and Meretz activist. “At the very least, in
circumstances of 21st century warfare, continued occupation of the
territories — or even part of them without equal swaps — probably does
not offer more security than the creation of a Palestinian state and
taking a chance on peace and end of the conflict.”
Besides security, there are other troubling
demands that make the Arab initiative a nonstarter in the eyes of
critics, such as the refugee issue. True, proponents say that the text
of the initiative specifies that any solution needs to be “agreed upon”
by both sides, meaning that Israel will not forcibly be flooded by
millions of Palestinians. However, it also says that any such solution
needs to be in accordance with UN General Assembly Resolution 194,
which resolved that “refugees wishing to return to their homes and live
at peace with their neighbors should be permitted to do so at the
earliest practicable date.”
Another little-known clause in the Arab Peace
Initiative rejects “Palestinian patriation,” which implies that refugees
living in camps on Israel’s borders will not be granted citizenship of
their current host countries. This issue seems resolvable in the
framework of a future Palestinian state, but critics fear it could
further complicate issues.
International Relations and Strategic Affairs
Minister Yuval Steinitz, who principally accepts the idea of a
(demilitarized) Palestinian state, is less than enthusiastic about the
proposal. “Every peace initiative is welcome but no peace initiative can
replace bilateral negotiations between us and the Palestinians,” he
told The Times of Israel last week. “We need to worry about genuine
peace with genuine security — these items are not included in the Arab
Peace Initiative.”
Steinitz was unwilling to even consider the
proposal as a framework for peace talks. Negotiations are supposed to be
bilateral, between Israelis and Palestinians, he said. “There are
bilateral issues and it would not be right to discuss them with the
entire Arab world, such as demilitarization and security arrangements
that are essential for us.”
‘The Arab League has not been able to make peace in the Arab world. Why should anyone trust the Arab League with peacemaking?’
Peace can only be made with countries which
with one is in a territorial conflict, a veteran diplomatic official
concurred. “Peace is a worthwhile objective, yet all promises of
regional peace are futile and groundless,” he said. Negotiations and
agreements occur when two parties sit down and try to resolve their
conflict, he asserted. It is true that every time the Palestinians
entered negotiations with Israel they did so with the encouragement of
Arab states such as Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and at some point also
Morocco, he allowed. But while those countries were able to make a
difference in the past, the Arab League as an umbrella organization
never did, asserted the official, who asked to remain anonymous due to
the sensitive nature of the issue.
The Arab League endorsed the eponymous peace
initiative but, beyond that, never played a significant role in the
Israeli-Palestinian peace track, the official continued. “The Arab
League has not been able to make peace in the Arab world — between
Algeria and Morocco, between Libya and Sudan, Iraq and Kuwait, and so on
and so forth. Why should anyone trust the Arab League with
peacemaking?”
And yet there are those who believe the Arab
Peace Initiative is an opportunity Israel cannot afford to miss — and
they aren’t just a bunch of gullible lefties and peaceniks. Former
minister Meir Sheetrit, who for 25 years sat in the Knesset for the
Likud party and today serves as faction chairman for Tzipi Livni’s
Hatnua, has always been a staunch supporter of the plan.
“The Arab Peace Initiative was relevant from
its first day in 2002, when Saudi King Abdullah proposed it. Today, like
then, I think that is the best idea that has ever been heard, through
which we can achieve peace,” the Moroccan-born politician said recently in an interview.
“It is over a decade later, and it still remains the fastest and best
path to achieve peace. Because it is a comprehensive initiative bringing
56 Islamic countries to the table who proclaim, ‘If you return to the
1967 borders and find a just and accepted solution for the refugees, we
–all 56 Arab states — are ready to make full peace with Israel.’ That is
an amazing thing.”
As Sheetrit points out, the initiative has
been approved four times in Arab League conventions since 2002. “Only
with us [Israelis] — nothing doing. No prime minister wants to hear
about it.”
For Yossi Beilin, a former justice minister
and the chief architect of the Oslo Accords, it is clear why Israel’s
right-wing governments were and are not interested in the Arab Peace
Initiative: it refutes their dogma that the Palestinian-Israeli
conflict, rather than being a territorial dispute, stems from the Arab
world’s refusal to accept a Jewish state in the region, regardless of
its borders.
Israel’s right-wing ideologues do not want to
believe in the Arab offer’s sincerity because this would destroy their
entire Weltanschauung, Beilin suggested. “Out of the blue, 11 years ago,
came the Arab world and said, ‘You make peace with your neighbors, we
will make peace with you.’ It’s as simple as that,” he told The Times of
Israel. “But rather than saying, ‘Hey, this is a revolution! Say it
again!,’ we said, ‘No, you don’t really mean it. You can’t mean, after
all — we know you.’”
This was Sharon’s initial reaction, and since
then every right-wing leader to date has rejected the initiative for the
same reason, Beilin said. “Once they accept the idea that we might be
accepted by the Arab world if we make peace with the Palestinians, it
puts the entire onus in the Arab-Israeli conflict on Israel… And
[Israel's right-wing leaders] are not ready, ideologically, to pay the
territorial price for peace.”
‘We will not get New Year’s cards from Iran, Sudan, or Libya under any foreseeable circumstances. It is nothing but a lack of seriousness to rely on such promises’
The fact that the Arab League adopted the
peace initiative on the very same day that a suicide bomber blew himself
up in the dining hall of a hotel in Netanya, during a Passover seder,
“made it easier” for opponents of the plan to play down its importance,
Beilin said. Twenty-nine people died and 64 were injured in the March
27, 2002, Park Hotel attack, for which Hamas claimed responsibility.
According to Elie Podeh, a Hebrew University
professor focusing on inter-Arab and Arab-Israeli relations, Israelis
were suspicious of the peace initiative from day one. “This was not the
result of a rational consideration of the initiative’s inherent
potential; it’s an emotional reaction,” he wrote in Haaretz
last month. “The Arab and Muslim world, in our minds, are generally
linked to threats and danger; when they ‘launch’ a peace proposal at us,
we don’t know how to react.”
Whether it’s realistic and sincere or not,
given the nature of Israel’s current government it does not look like
the Arab Peace Initiative will become a reality any time soon.
And what about Iran? Even optimists and
incorrigible peaceniks who swear that the Arab world is willing to
normalize relations with Israel don’t believe in peace with the Islamic
Republic in our days. “Indonesia, Malaysia and others would have joined,
but of course with Iran it won’t happen,” Beilin said (adding, however,
that this is “not only because of them but also because of us”).
An Israeli official who preferred to stay
anonymous put it even more succinctly: “Peace with Iran, Afghanistan and
Pakistan — very funny. Let’s be clear: We will not get New Year’s cards
from Iran, Sudan or Libya under any foreseeable circumstances. It is
nothing but a lack of seriousness to rely on such promises.”
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